Houston Astros at Los Angeles Angels: Final Score & Recap

The Houston Astros erased a two-run deficit and pulled away late to defeat the Los Angeles Angels 6-4 at Angel Stadium on July 27, 2026, completing a comeback that the DiamondIQ model's estimate put at near certainty by game's end after assigning the Angels a 44 percent pre-game home win probability. Los Angeles staked out a 2-0 lead through the first inning and added two more in the third, but Houston chipped away with a run in the fourth and another in the eighth before unleashing a four-run ninth that sealed the outcome.

The decisive sequence came in the top of the ninth, and the DiamondIQ model captured just how rapidly the game turned. Isaac Paredes drew a hit by pitch off Sam Bachman that swung win probability 32.0 percentage points in Houston's favor, and LaMonte Wade Jr. followed immediately with a walk off the same pitcher for an identical 32.0-point swing, the two plays collectively flipping the game's outcome in the span of two batters. Christian Walker then singled off José Fermin for another 13.9-point boost, extending the rally further. A bunt pop out by Christian Vázquez cost Houston 10.1 points of win probability and briefly stalled the inning, but the Astros still pushed four runs across to go ahead for good. Yordan Alvarez had set the table an inning earlier with a single off Ryan Zeferjahn that added 9.7 points of win probability, representative of how Houston gradually tightened the game before breaking it open.

Wade Jr. led all position players with a WPA of plus-22.2 percent alongside a RE24 of plus-0.1, while Paredes and Vaughn Grissom each posted a WPA of plus-18.1 percent, with Grissom's plus-1.4 RE24 indicating the most direct run-environment impact among hitters. On the mound, Walbert Ureña was the standout, contributing plus-25.0 percent WPA to pace Houston's pitching staff, with Cristian Javier and Chase Silseth adding plus-5.8 and plus-5.0 percent respectively as the Astros' bullpen secured the final outs.