Arizona Diamondbacks at Washington Nationals: Final Score & Recap

The Washington Nationals defeated the Arizona Diamondbacks 5-3 at Nationals Park on July 25, 2026, with the DiamondIQ model entering the game at 52 percent in favor of Washington and closing at 100 percent as the Nationals never surrendered control after a pivotal third inning. Arizona managed six hits and committed one error against a Washington club that stayed clean defensively, finishing with nine hits and no miscues.

The game turned decisively in the bottom of the third, when Washington sent Mitch Bratt through a punishing inning that produced all four of the Nationals' runs in the frame. Daylen Lile's triple was the single most consequential play of the contest, shifting win probability by plus 21.1 percent and effectively breaking the game open. CJ Abrams followed with a double that added another 9.5 percent in win probability, and Andrés Chaparro contributed a double of his own for a further 9.1 percent swing, piling on against Bratt before Arizona could escape the inning. The Diamondbacks briefly responded in the top of the third, where Gabriel Moreno singled off Foster Griffin for a plus-8.3 percent swing, and Arizona added a run in the seventh, but Nolan Arenado grounded into a double play in that same frame, erasing a would-be rally and costing the D-backs 9.0 percent in win probability against Griffin.

Lile finished as Washington's most valuable offensive contributor with a cumulative WPA of plus 20.9 percent and a RE24 of plus 1.7, while Abrams led all batters in RE24 at plus 2.0 to go with an 18.0 percent WPA. On the pitching side, Eddy Yean was Washington's most effective reliever by the DiamondIQ model's estimate, posting plus 11.3 percent WPA, with Clayton Beeter adding plus 6.3 percent and Gerardo Carrillo contributing plus 4.3 percent as the Nationals bullpen closed out the three-run Arizona deficit without incident.