MLB Recap · July 17, 2026

Detroit Tigers at Los Angeles Angels: Final Score & Recap

DET2
Final
LAA1

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
DET000000002260
LAA100000000150

The Story

The Detroit Tigers stunned the Los Angeles Angels 2-1 on July 17, 2026, at Angel Stadium, scoring both of their runs in the top of the ninth inning to erase a 1-0 deficit and hand the Angels a painful late defeat. The DiamondIQ model had entered the game with the Angels holding a 46 percent home win probability, a figure that collapsed to zero by the final out.

The decisive sequence unfolded entirely in the ninth. With Detroit trailing by a run, Hao-Yu Lee delivered the game's single most consequential swing, a double off Kirby Yates that shifted win probability by plus 67.4 percent in the Tigers' favor and effectively turned the game on its head. Kerry Carpenter's flyout earlier in the frame had cost Detroit 12.8 percentage points, making Lee's double all the more critical in context. The Angels responded in the bottom of the ninth against Keider Montero with Jose Siri singling to add 12.8 percentage points to their chances, but Denzer Guzman's groundout swung momentum back to Detroit by plus 15.5 percent, and Jo Adell's pop out to close the inning sealed the loss, costing Los Angeles a final 16.6 percentage points of win probability.

On the individual ledger, Hao-Yu Lee led all players with a plus 57.3 percent WPA and a RE24 of plus 1.2, making him the clear engine of the Detroit rally. On the mound, Reid Detmers paced all pitchers with a plus 34.2 percent WPA despite pitching for the losing side, a reflection of how thoroughly he suppressed the Tigers through eight innings before the late collapse. Troy Melton added plus 13.3 percent WPA and Sam Bachman contributed plus 10.8 percent for Detroit's bullpen, which secured the one-run win and handed Los Angeles a difficult home loss.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025DET bats firstFinalLAA win %DET win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 46.2% → final 0%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Hao-Yu Lee Double
Top 9th · off Kirby Yates
+67.4%
Jo Adell Pop Out
Bot 9th · off Keider Montero
-16.6%
Denzer Guzman Groundout
Bot 9th · off Keider Montero
+15.5%
Kerry Carpenter Flyout
Top 9th · off Kirby Yates
-12.8%
Jose Siri Single
Bot 9th · off Keider Montero
+12.8%

Top Batters by WPA

Hao-Yu Lee+57.3%+1.2 RE24
Jose Siri+12.8%+0.2 RE24
Denzer Guzman+8.6%-1.4 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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