American League All-Stars at National League All-Stars: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AL | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 0 |
| NL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
The Story
The American League All-Stars shut out the National League All-Stars 4-0 on July 14, 2026, at Citizens Bank Park, erasing what the DiamondIQ model's estimate had been a 54 percent pre-game home win probability for the NL and running it to zero by the final out. The AL did its most critical damage early, scoring three runs in the top of the first inning and adding one more in the top of the eighth, while the NL managed just three hits across nine innings and never threatened to change the complexion of the game.
The biggest single swings in win probability came from the strikeouts that defined the NL's offensive futility. Brandon Marsh's strikeout against Parker Messick in the bottom of the second was the single most impactful play of the night, shifting win probability 8.8 percent against the NL, while CJ Abrams going down on strikes against Dylan Cease in the first inning moved the needle 8.3 percent in the same direction. On the AL side, Riley Greene's strikeout in the top of the first off Cristopher Sánchez actually aided the AL by 6.7 percent in context, and Yordan Alvarez's flyout against Eduardo Rodriguez in the second carried a 6.6 percent positive swing given the game situation. Miguel Vargas added insurance with a home run off Justin Wrobleski in the eighth, contributing a 5.1 percent win-probability bump.
Among position players, Alvarez led all batters with a 6.6 percent WPA and a 0.2 RE24, while Vargas posted a 0.9 RE24 and a 4.4 percent WPA on the strength of his late homer. Greene finished at plus-5.3 percent WPA despite a negative RE24 of 0.6, reflecting the contextual value of his contributions. The pitching staff was dominant throughout, with Messick leading all pitchers at plus-11.6 percent WPA, Cease close behind at plus-8.9 percent, and Cade Smith adding 6.0 percent. The AL committed no errors and allowed the NL to reach base in only the most limited fashion, producing a clean and efficient victory in Philadelphia.