Arizona Diamondbacks at Los Angeles Dodgers: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AZ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 |
| LAD | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
The Story
The Arizona Diamondbacks defeated the Los Angeles Dodgers 5-3 at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium on July 12, 2026, handing the home side a loss despite entering the game as a 66 percent favorite according to the DiamondIQ model's estimate. Arizona built its advantage with two runs apiece in the fifth and sixth innings, while Los Angeles, which had scratched out a run in the first and two more in the third, could not add to its total after that. The Diamondbacks finished with five hits and committed no errors; the Dodgers managed three hits and were hurt by two errors of their own.
The decisive shift in the game came in the bottom of the eighth inning, where the Dodgers' best chance to rally collapsed in back-to-back outs. Freddie Freeman grounded into a double play off Juan Morillo, a swing of negative 19.0 percent in win probability that stands as the single most impactful play of the contest, followed by Mookie Betts grounding out for an additional negative 12.9 percent swing. Earlier in the game, Tommy Edman's single off Mitch Bratt in the third had added 14.6 percent to Los Angeles's win probability, and Lourdes Gurriel Jr.'s fielder's choice off Edgardo Henriquez in the top of the sixth contributed 13.4 percent for Arizona. Paul Sewald closed the door in the ninth, with Teoscar Hernández's strikeout representing a 14.4 percent positive swing for the Diamondbacks.
On the individual ledger, Tim Tawa led all position players with a WPA of plus 12.7 percent and a RE24 of plus 1.2, while Teoscar Hernández and Andy Pages also contributed positively at plus 9.6 and plus 8.4 percent respectively. The pitching story belonged to Juan Morillo, whose eighth-inning work produced a game-high plus 23.3 percent WPA, with Jonathan Loáisiga adding plus 9.7 percent and Tanner Scott contributing plus 7.4 percent in support. The DiamondIQ model's estimate, which opened the night strongly favoring Los Angeles, finished at zero percent as Arizona completed the victory.