Los Angeles Angels at Minnesota Twins: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAA | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 |
| MIN | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | 4 | 6 | 0 |
The Story
The Minnesota Twins defeated the Los Angeles Angels 4-2 on July 12, 2026, at Target Field, a result the DiamondIQ model's estimate tracked from a 64 percent pregame home win probability to a final certainty of 100 percent as the Twins pulled away through a handful of decisive moments.
The game turned decisively in the bottom of the third inning against Angels starter José Soriano. Ryan Jeffers delivered a double that shifted win probability by plus 16.3 percent, and Trevor Larnach followed with a single worth an additional plus 14.1 percent, the two plays combining to construct the three-run frame that gave Minnesota a lead it never surrendered. Larnach added further separation in the bottom of the eighth with a home run off Ryan Zeferjahn, a plus 12.0 percent swing that answered Denzer Guzman's solo home run off Taj Bradley in the top of the seventh, which had briefly pulled the Angels within two at plus 12.3 percent. Angels outfielder Jo Adell's grounded into a double play in the top of the sixth, a minus 11.7 percent swing against his own team, effectively closed off a Los Angeles threat that might have altered the game's trajectory.
Larnach finished as the game's most impactful offensive performer at plus 23.2 percent WPA and plus 1.7 RE24, while Jeffers contributed plus 13.1 percent WPA and plus 1.0 RE24. On the mound, Andrew Morris led all pitchers with plus 17.1 percent WPA, supported by Taj Bradley at plus 8.0 percent and Chase Silseth at plus 4.5 percent. Los Angeles managed seven hits without an error but could not convert against a Twins pitching staff that held its advantage through nine innings.