MLB Recap · July 11, 2026

Boston Red Sox at New York Mets: Final Score & Recap

BOS4
Final
NYM0

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
BOS000200020460
NYM000000000030

The Story

The Boston Red Sox shut out the New York Mets 4-0 at Citi Field on July 11, 2026, holding New York scoreless across all nine innings while limiting them to just three hits. The DiamondIQ model opened the game with a 47 percent home win probability for the Mets, but that figure reached zero by the final out, reflecting how thoroughly Boston controlled the contest from the middle innings onward.

The decisive blow came in the top of the fourth, when Andruw Monasterio lifted a home run off Freddy Peralta, a swing the DiamondIQ model calculated as the single largest win-probability shift of the game at plus 17.8 percent. Monasterio added further damage in the sixth with a triple off A.J. Minter, worth another 8.3 percent in win probability, giving him a combined WPA of plus 25.9 percent and an RE24 of plus 2.2 on the night, making him the clear offensive catalyst. Masataka Yoshida then put the game out of reach in the eighth with a home run off Tobias Myers, a plus 12.3 percent swing that pushed the score to 4-0. New York's best sequence came in the seventh, when Bo Bichette drew a walk off Justin Slaten worth plus 9.1 percent from the Mets' perspective, but an A.J. Ewing strikeout in the same frame erased much of that momentum, registering as a minus 14.5 percent swing against New York.

On the mound, Boston's bullpen was the story. Eduardo Rivera led all pitchers with a plus 11.8 percent WPA, followed closely by Huascar Brazobán at plus 11.7 percent and Jovani Morán at plus 9.8 percent, a trio that helped preserve the shutout over the final frames. The Red Sox finished with six hits and zero errors, while the Mets' three-hit night left them with little to work with against a Boston staff that the DiamondIQ model favored as the game progressed.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025BOS bats firstFinalNYM win %BOS win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 47.2% → final 0%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Andruw Monasterio Home Run
Top 4th · off Freddy Peralta
+17.8%
A.J. Ewing Strikeout
Bot 7th · off Justin Slaten
-14.5%
Masataka Yoshida Home Run
Top 8th · off Tobias Myers
+12.3%
Bo Bichette Walk
Bot 7th · off Justin Slaten
+9.1%
Top 6th · off A.J. Minter
+8.3%

Top Batters by WPA

Andruw Monasterio+25.9%+2.2 RE24
Bo Bichette+9.1%+0.4 RE24
Francisco Alvarez+6.9%+0.5 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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