MLB Recap · July 11, 2026

Arizona Diamondbacks at Los Angeles Dodgers: Final Score & Recap

AZ9
Final
LAD2

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
AZ000105120990
LAD000002000261

The Story

The Arizona Diamondbacks handed the Los Angeles Dodgers a 9-2 defeat at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium on July 11, 2026, overcoming a pre-game DiamondIQ model estimate of just 33 percent win probability to complete a thorough road win. Arizona managed all nine of its runs across the fourth, sixth, seventh, and eighth innings, while its pitching staff held Los Angeles to two runs on six hits and forced an error.

The decisive sequence came in the top of the sixth inning, where Arizona unloaded five runs against Yoshinobu Yamamoto in what represented the game's defining win-probability swing. James McCann's home run added 13.2 percentage points to Arizona's win probability, and Tim Tawa's double followed to push that figure up another 12.4 points, a pair of blows that effectively ended any realistic Dodger comeback. Gabriel Moreno chipped in a single during the same inning worth 5.8 points of win probability. Earlier, the Dodgers had squandered opportunities in the fourth inning, with Mookie Betts popping out against Brandon Pfaadt at a cost of 7.7 points of win probability and Max Muncy grounding out for an additional 6.1-point swing in Arizona's favor.

Pfaadt was the game's most impactful individual performer regardless of side, finishing with a WPA of plus-22.3 points while holding Los Angeles in check throughout his outing. Among position players, Tawa led all batters with a WPA of plus-17.3 and a RE24 of plus-1.8, while McCann posted a RE24 of plus-3.7 to complement his plus-13.5 WPA, reflecting the run-environment value of his home run in particular. Moreno added a WPA of plus-8.9 and a RE24 of plus-1.4, rounding out a balanced Arizona offensive effort. Relievers Brandyn Garcia and Kevin Ginkel contributed plus-5.4 and plus-1.7 WPA respectively as Arizona completed the wire-to-wire rout.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025AZ bats firstFinalLAD win %AZ win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 66.7% → final 0%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

James McCann Home Run
Top 6th · off Yoshinobu Yamamoto
+13.2%
Tim Tawa Double
Top 6th · off Yoshinobu Yamamoto
+12.4%
Mookie Betts Pop Out
Bot 4th · off Brandon Pfaadt
-7.7%
Max Muncy Groundout
Bot 4th · off Brandon Pfaadt
-6.1%
Gabriel Moreno Single
Top 6th · off Yoshinobu Yamamoto
+5.8%

Top Batters by WPA

Tim Tawa+17.3%+1.8 RE24
James McCann+13.5%+3.7 RE24
Gabriel Moreno+8.9%+1.4 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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