Arizona Diamondbacks at Los Angeles Dodgers: Final Score & Recap

The Arizona Diamondbacks dismantled the Los Angeles Dodgers 9-3 at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium on July 10, 2026, a result the DiamondIQ model's estimate registered as a significant upset given the Dodgers entered with a 68% pre-game win probability. Arizona scored in four separate innings, plating two runs in the first and adding two more in each of the fourth, fifth, and sixth frames before tacking on a final run in the eighth, while Los Angeles managed only a single run in the ninth against an already-decided outcome. The Dodgers compounded their troubles with three errors on the night, while the Diamondbacks played clean ball with none.

The decisive moment of the contest came in the top of the fourth inning when Tim Tawa connected on a home run off Brock Stewart, a swing the DiamondIQ model credited with a +21.5% win-probability swing that effectively broke the game open. That play was the single largest WPA event of the night and left Los Angeles with little path to recovery. The game's early tone was set in the first inning, where an Ildemaro Vargas groundout against Kyle Hurt produced a somewhat unexpected +8.0% win-probability addition, indicating the Diamondbacks were working into favorable run-expectancy situations from the opening frame. Corbin Carroll added to Arizona's advantage in the fifth with a fielder's choice off Stewart worth another +7.1% in win probability. On the Los Angeles side, Freddie Freeman grounded into a double play in the third against Eduardo Rodriguez, a sequence that cost the Dodgers 5.5% in win probability at a moment they could least afford it.

Eduardo Rodriguez was the pitching backbone of the Arizona effort, finishing as the top performer on the mound with a model-credited +25.5% WPA, neutralizing a Dodgers lineup that managed nine hits but failed to convert them into sustained scoring. Tawa led all position players with a +22.6% WPA and +4.0 RE24, his home run serving as the game's defining offensive act. Corbin Carroll finished second among batters at +9.6% WPA, while Andy Pages contributed a +6.1% WPA and +1.2 RE24 to round out Arizona's most impactful performers. The Diamondbacks' combination of timely hitting, clean defense, and Rodriguez's effectiveness rendered the Dodgers' pre-game favoritism entirely moot by the final out.