Colorado Rockies at Los Angeles Dodgers: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| COL | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 |
| LAD | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | 4 | 7 | 1 |
The Story
The Los Angeles Dodgers defeated the Colorado Rockies 4-3 on July 8, 2026, at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium in a game that was tightly contested through eight innings before Los Angeles ultimately held on. The DiamondIQ model entered the night favoring the home side at 76% and finished at 100%, though the path there was far from smooth. Los Angeles scored three runs in the first inning to establish early control, but Colorado clawed back with two runs in the second and one in the third to level the contest at three, setting up a tense middle stretch in which neither team scored from the fourth through the seventh.
The eighth inning proved decisive for both clubs, though ultimately in the Dodgers' favor. Jake McCarthy delivered the most impactful offensive moment for Colorado, his double off Alex Vesia adding 15.7% to the Rockies' win probability and representing the closest they came to taking the lead. However, the threat unraveled quickly, as Kyle Karros followed with a flyout off Edgardo Henriquez that swung the probability back 15.2%, and TJ Rumfield's strikeout against Vesia erased another 11.8%. In the home half, Mookie Betts singled off Antonio Senzatela to push Los Angeles ahead, adding 11.3% to the Dodgers' chances and ultimately providing the winning margin. Earlier, Karros had also delivered a meaningful double off Roki Sasaki in the fourth that added 11.1% to Colorado's win probability, keeping the Rockies competitive through the middle frames.
On the mound, Gabriel Hughes was the standout performer for Los Angeles, contributing 25.4% to the Dodgers' win probability, while Edgardo Henriquez and Tanner Scott each added 15.2%. For Colorado, Jake McCarthy led all batters with a WPA of plus 14.4% and an RE24 of plus 0.8, while Betts led Dodgers hitters at plus 7.7% WPA and plus 0.6 RE24. Braxton Fulford also contributed positively for Colorado at plus 6.7% WPA. The Rockies finished with five hits and no errors, but the inability to capitalize in the eighth ultimately cost them the game against a Dodgers club that the model had favored heavily from the outset.