Boston Red Sox at Chicago White Sox: Final Score & Recap

The Boston Red Sox shut out the Chicago White Sox 5-0 at Rate Field on July 8, 2026, handing Chicago a decisive loss that the DiamondIQ model's estimate reflected sharply — the White Sox entered with a 59% pre-game win probability that collapsed to 0% by the final out.

The game turned almost entirely in two innings. Boston broke through in the third against Davis Martin, stringing together a rally that the DiamondIQ model registered as the most consequential sequence of the night. Tsung-Che Cheng opened the damage with a single that added 6.4% to Boston's win probability, and Ceddanne Rafaela followed with a double that swung the model another 10.2%. Anthony Seigler drew a walk worth 8.4% in win-probability terms, extending the inning before a Wilyer Abreu groundout cost the Red Sox 6.2%. Boston added two more runs in the fourth, with Carlos Narváez delivering a single off Martin that moved the needle another 8.3%. When the scoring was done, Martin had absorbed the bulk of the punishment across those two innings. Cheng finished as the game's top offensive contributor by WPA at plus-9.5% with a RE24 of plus-1.2, while Rafaela matched that RE24 figure with a plus-9.1% WPA mark of his own. Seigler added plus-8.4% and plus-0.6 RE24.

On the mound, Jake Bennett was dominant, leading all pitchers with a plus-23.9% WPA — by far the largest single-pitcher contribution in the game. Chris Murphy and Seranthony Domínguez followed in relief, adding plus-1.0% and plus-0.6% respectively, as Boston completed the shutout on four Chicago hits against ten of their own, committing no errors while the White Sox made one.