Seattle Mariners at Miami Marlins: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 1 |
| MIA | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 1 |
The Story
Miami walked off with a 6-5 victory over Seattle at loanDepot park on July 7, 2026, in a game that required extra innings to settle. The DiamondIQ model entered the night giving Miami a 57 percent chance to win, and by the final out that estimate had reached 100 percent. The Marlins built a 4-0 lead through four innings, surrendering two runs in the fifth and then watching Seattle claw back three more in the eighth to take a 5-4 lead. Miami answered immediately in the bottom of the eighth when Heriberto Hernández connected on a home run off Gabe Speier, a swing that shifted win probability by plus 21.9 percent and knotted the game at five. That single play was the largest win-probability moment of the night, and it set the stage for an eventual Marlins walkoff in the tenth.
The decisive sequence came in the bottom of the tenth against Michael Rucker. Jakob Marsee delivered a run-scoring single that moved the needle plus 16.9 percent, and Hernández followed with a lineout credited with plus 19.5 percent win probability added, reflecting how deep into a high-leverage situation the inning had grown before the game ended. Hernández finished as the game's most impactful offensive player, accumulating plus 41.4 percent total WPA and a RE24 of plus 1.5 across his critical contributions. On the Seattle side, Josh Naylor's eighth-inning single off Calvin Faucher had briefly swung momentum Seattle's way at plus 19.4 percent, and Randy Arozarena's sixth-inning walk off Max Meyer added plus 15.0 percent WPA, making Arozarena Seattle's top batter at plus 30.8 percent WPA and plus 2.0 RE24.
On the mound, Michael Petersen led all pitchers with plus 29.2 percent WPA in support of the Marlins, while Pete Fairbanks added plus 13.5 percent for Miami's bullpen. José A. Ferrer contributed plus 3.3 percent WPA in a supporting role. The game underscored how quickly a multi-run lead can dissolve and then be recovered, with Hernández emerging as the central figure on both sides of the eighth-inning pivot and the final walkoff moment.