San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers: Final Score & Recap

The Los Angeles Dodgers shut out the San Diego Padres 3-0 on July 4, 2026, at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium, with the DiamondIQ model's estimate of a Dodgers win moving from 70% before first pitch to a certainty by the final out. Los Angeles spread its scoring across the third, sixth, and eighth innings, holding San Diego to just four hits and committing no errors while the Padres offense managed nothing against a dominant Dodgers pitching staff.

The game's most consequential sequence began in the bottom of the third, where Andy Pages delivered a single off Griffin Canning that shifted win probability 7.7 points in Los Angeles's favor, though Freddie Freeman followed with a strikeout that swung 5.9 points back toward San Diego. Freeman more than made up for that moment in the sixth, connecting on a home run off Kyle Hart that added 11.2 percentage points to the Dodgers' win probability and stood as the single biggest play of the night by that measure. Earlier, a Mookie Betts double in the bottom of the first off Wandy Peralta had briefly moved the needle 5.5 points against the Dodgers when it failed to produce a run, a missed opportunity that reflected the game's overall offensive restraint.

Freeman finished as the top positional contributor by WPA at plus-9.9, with Pages adding plus-7.0. On the mound, Yoshinobu Yamamoto was the dominant force of the evening, accumulating plus-26.9 WPA to lead all pitchers, with Griffin Canning contributing plus-12.4 WPA in relief and Wandy Peralta adding plus-6.1 WPA. San Diego's pitching staff, led by Canning, kept the game within reach for stretches, but the Dodgers' run prevention was simply too thorough for the Padres to overcome.