MLB Recap · July 1, 2026

Detroit Tigers at New York Yankees: Final Score & Recap

DET6
Final
NYY2

Line Score

Team1234567891011RHE
DET00100100004660
NYY00000000200272

The Story

The Detroit Tigers stunned the New York Yankees 6-2 at Yankee Stadium on July 1, 2026, completing a dramatic comeback that erased a pre-game DiamondIQ model estimate of 66 percent in favor of New York and drove that figure all the way to zero. Detroit scored just twice through nine innings and twice more in the ninth belonged to the Yankees, as the game remained unsettled deep into extra innings before the Tigers erupted for four runs in the top of the eleventh to put it away. The Yankees committed two errors and managed seven hits but could not convert when it mattered most.

The pivotal sequence began in the bottom of the ninth, when Anthony Volpe singled off Drew Anderson to generate the single largest win-probability swing of the night, a +43.6 percent shift that gave New York genuine life and tied the game at two. That momentum, however, could not be sustained. In the bottom of the tenth, Jose Caballero executed a sacrifice bunt off Keider Montero worth +19.5 percent in win probability, but Oswaldo Cabrera's subsequent strikeout swung the needle back 19.5 percent in Detroit's favor, effectively neutralizing the Yankees' best extra-inning threat. The Tigers then broke things open in the eleventh against Camilo Doval, with Zach McKinstry's single adding 30.3 percent and Spencer Torkelson's walk contributing another 29.4 percent as Detroit sent four runs across to seal it.

Troy Melton was the standout performer on the mound, finishing with a DiamondIQ WPA of +42.9 percent, the highest of any pitcher in the contest. Offensively, Volpe led all batters with a +36.7 percent WPA despite playing for the losing side, a reflection of how close New York came to forcing a different outcome. For Detroit, Torkelson posted a +26.6 percent WPA and +0.5 RE24, while McKinstry's +25.2 percent WPA and team-best +1.6 RE24 underscored his role as the catalyst in the decisive eleventh-inning rally. Paul Blackburn and Drew Sommers each added modest positive contributions on the pitching staff as the Tigers handed the Yankees a loss in their own ballpark.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025DET bats firstFinalNYY win %DET win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 65.7% → final 0%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Anthony Volpe Single
Bot 9th · off Drew Anderson
+43.6%
Zach McKinstry Single
Top 11th · off Camilo Doval
+30.3%
Top 11th · off Camilo Doval
+29.4%
Oswaldo Cabrera Strikeout
Bot 10th · off Keider Montero
-19.5%
José Caballero Sac Bunt
Bot 10th · off Keider Montero
+19.5%

Top Batters by WPA

Anthony Volpe+36.7%+0.4 RE24
Spencer Torkelson+26.6%+0.5 RE24
Zach McKinstry+25.2%+1.6 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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