Los Angeles Dodgers at Athletics: Final Score & Recap

The Athletics handed the Dodgers a 7-1 defeat on July 1, 2026, at Sutter Health Park, turning what the DiamondIQ model opened as a 37 percent home win probability into a near-certain outcome well before the final out. Oakland built its advantage methodically across the middle innings, and by the time the dust settled the Athletics had out-hit Los Angeles 12 to 5 with no errors on either side.

The game's decisive stretch ran from the second inning through the fifth, with Dodgers starter Charlie Barnes absorbing the bulk of the damage. Jonah Heim got Oakland on the board with a home run in the bottom of the second, a swing that added 7.4 percent to the Athletics' win probability. The only blemish for Oakland came in the top of the third, when Freddie Freeman connected for a home run off J.T. Ginn, a blow worth plus-10.6 percent win probability that briefly kept Los Angeles within reach. Oakland answered immediately, with Joshua Kuroda-Grauer's double in the bottom of the fourth adding 10.7 percent win probability — the single largest swing of the game — and then Shea Langeliers followed with a home run in the fifth off Barnes to push the margin further, contributing 8.1 percent. A Colby Thomas double in that same fifth-inning frame added another 6.0 percent, effectively closing out any realistic Dodger comeback.

On the individual ledger, Heim led all position players with a plus-13.4 percent WPA and plus-1.9 RE24, while Kuroda-Grauer posted plus-12.7 percent WPA and Langeliers added plus-9.0 percent WPA. J.T. Ginn was the story on the mound, generating plus-19.9 percent WPA to anchor the pitching staff, with Luis Medina contributing an additional plus-1.5 percent in relief. The DiamondIQ model favors Oakland's performance as the clear driver of the final margin, with Ginn's outing and the middle-inning offensive burst from Heim and Kuroda-Grauer representing the game's defining sequence.