New York Yankees at Boston Red Sox: Final Score & Recap

The Boston Red Sox defeated the New York Yankees 6-3 at Fenway Park on June 25, 2026, handing New York a loss fueled largely by four Yankees errors. The DiamondIQ model's estimate had Boston entering the game as a 36 percent home win probability, a figure that climbed steadily before reaching 100 percent by the final out. The Yankees drew first blood with a run in the top of the first, and José Caballero extended the lead with a home run off Connelly Early in the top of the fourth, a swing that added 11.2 percent to New York's win probability. Boston responded immediately in the bottom of the fourth when Anthony Seigler doubled off Cam Schlittler, a hit worth plus 9.9 percent to the Red Sox, though Carlos Narváez's strikeout in the same frame swung momentum back 9.0 percent the other way.

The game's decisive sequence came in the bottom of the fifth, when Boston erupted for four runs against Schlittler. Caleb Durbin delivered the single most impactful play of the game, a home run that shifted win probability 22.2 percent in Boston's favor. Willson Contreras followed with a fielder's choice that added another 21.4 percent, effectively putting the contest out of reach. Boston added two more in the bottom of the eighth to finalize the 6-3 margin.

Durbin finished as the game's top offensive performer at plus 23.3 percent WPA and plus 2.2 RE24, while Contreras contributed plus 17.3 percent WPA and plus 1.0 RE24. Seigler added plus 11.4 percent WPA and plus 0.8 RE24. On the pitching side, Connelly Early led all pitchers at plus 16.1 percent WPA, with Garrett Whitlock adding plus 10.8 percent and Danny Coulombe contributing plus 5.5 percent in Boston's bullpen effort.