MLB Recap · June 24, 2026

Los Angeles Dodgers at Minnesota Twins: Final Score & Recap

LAD4
Final
MIN3

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
LAD0130000004100
MIN030000000380

The Story

The Los Angeles Dodgers defeated the Minnesota Twins 4-3 at Target Field on June 24, 2026, completing a come-from-behind victory that was effectively decided by the fourth inning. The DiamondIQ model entered the game giving the Twins a 36 percent chance of winning at home, but that probability never recovered after the Dodgers scored once in the second and three more times in the third to build a 4-3 lead that held the rest of the way. Los Angeles finished with 10 hits and committed no errors, while Minnesota managed 8 hits but could not convert late opportunities into runs.

The decisive sequence came in the final two innings, where the Dodgers' bullpen shut the door on a Twins offense that briefly threatened. The single most impactful play of the game, per the DiamondIQ model's estimate, was Byron Buxton's strikeout to end the ninth inning off Tanner Scott, a moment that swung win probability 27.0 percent in the Dodgers' favor. Before that, Austin Martin kept Minnesota's hopes alive with a single off Scott that added 12.3 percent to the Twins' win probability, but Ryan Kreidler's flyout two batters later shifted things back 11.9 percent toward Los Angeles. Alex Vesia was the most valuable arm of the night by WPA, contributing 23.3 percent to the Dodgers' win probability, with a key strikeout of Brooks Lee in the eighth that swung 18.7 percent in Los Angeles' favor.

Among position players, Freddie Freeman led Dodgers hitters with a 10.3 percent WPA and a RE24 of plus-1.2, reflecting his positive impact on run-expectancy throughout his plate appearances. On the Minnesota side, Ryan Kreidler's second-inning single off Shohei Ohtani added 13.1 percent to the Twins' win probability and stood as the most consequential offensive play for the home team, though it ultimately proved insufficient. Kyle Hurt and Yoendrys Gómez also contributed positively for Los Angeles with WPA figures of 9.7 and 7.4 percent respectively, helping bridge the late innings before Scott closed it out.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025LAD bats firstFinalMIN win %LAD win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 36.1% → final 0%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Byron Buxton Strikeout
Bot 9th · off Tanner Scott
+27.0%
Brooks Lee Strikeout
Bot 8th · off Alex Vesia
-18.7%
Ryan Kreidler Single
Bot 2nd · off Shohei Ohtani
+13.1%
Austin Martin Single
Bot 9th · off Tanner Scott
+12.3%
Ryan Kreidler Flyout
Bot 9th · off Tanner Scott
-11.9%

Top Batters by WPA

Byron Buxton+13.1%-1.2 RE24
Austin Martin+12.3%+0.4 RE24
Freddie Freeman+10.3%+1.2 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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