New York Yankees at Detroit Tigers: Final Score & Recap

The New York Yankees defeated the Detroit Tigers 4-3 at Comerica Park on June 23, 2026, handing the home side a loss that the DiamondIQ model's estimate tracked from a 37 percent pre-game home win probability down to zero by the final out. The game turned primarily on a six-run combined sixth inning, with the Yankees doing the heavier damage. Jazz Chisholm Jr. delivered the biggest offensive blow of that frame, a home run off Casey Mize that shifted win probability by 24.1 percentage points in New York's favor. Austin Wells extended the Yankees' advantage in the same inning with a double off Tyler Holton, adding another 14.2 percentage points to New York's likelihood of winning. Detroit answered with a run in the bottom half, but the Yankees carried a lead into the late innings that their bullpen would ultimately protect.

New York closer David Bednar navigated real danger in the final two innings. Spencer Torkelson's pop out in the eighth represented a 16.5 percentage point swing against Detroit's chances, and in the ninth, Zach McKinstry's flyout against Bednar carried the single largest win-probability impact of the game at 31.6 percentage points, ending Detroit's last credible threat. On the pitching side, Brent Headrick was the most valuable arm by the DiamondIQ model's measure, posting a 16.4 percent WPA contribution, with Kyle Finnegan adding 10.6 percent. Headrick also induced a Kevin McGonigle double play in the seventh that swung win probability by 10.3 points against the Tigers. Among position players, McKinstry led all batters with a 27.6 percent WPA total, while Dillon Dingler finished second at 25.9 percent WPA with a team-best 1.8 RE24, and Chisholm Jr. rounded out the top three at 19.5 percent WPA and 1.3 RE24.