MLB Recap · June 23, 2026

Athletics at San Francisco Giants: Final Score & Recap

ATH1
Final
SF3

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
ATH001000000130
SF02000010-391

The Story

The San Francisco Giants defeated the Oakland Athletics 3-1 at Oracle Park on June 23, 2026, moving the DiamondIQ model's estimate of a Giants win from 47 percent before first pitch to 100 percent by the final out. San Francisco collected nine hits against just one error on the night, while Oakland managed only three hits in a largely quiet offensive showing.

The game's decisive sequence began in the bottom of the second inning, when Jung Hoo Lee provided the game's first run with a home run off Aaron Civale that added 7.6 percent to the Giants' win probability. Lee finished as the game's top offensive contributor by WPA at plus-11.7 percent with a RE24 of plus-1.5. The Athletics briefly threatened in the top of the third when Max Muncy singled off Robbie Ray for a plus-7.7 percent swing, but Jeff McNeil's pop out in the same frame worked in San Francisco's favor, swinging win probability 8.4 percent against Oakland and effectively stalling the rally. Daniel Susac's strikeout off Aaron Civale in the bottom of the fourth represented another significant momentum shift, costing the Athletics 6.7 percent in win probability. Rafael Devers then put the game further out of reach in the bottom of the seventh with a single off José Suarez, the single biggest play of the night at plus-11.1 percent. Drew Gilbert also contributed positively for San Francisco, finishing at plus-9.4 percent WPA.

Robbie Ray was the night's dominant force on the mound, posting a remarkable plus-38.2 percent WPA to lead all pitchers, cementing the Giants' hold on a game the DiamondIQ model had called nearly even at the outset. Caleb Kilian added plus-6.3 percent and Mason Barnett contributed plus-5.1 percent in relief to close out Oakland's slim chances.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025ATH bats firstFinalSF win %ATH win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 46.8% → final 100%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Rafael Devers Single
Bot 7th · off José Suarez
+11.1%
Jeff McNeil Pop Out
Top 3rd · off Robbie Ray
-8.4%
Max Muncy Single
Top 3rd · off Robbie Ray
+7.7%
Jung Hoo Lee Home Run
Bot 2nd · off Aaron Civale
+7.6%
Daniel Susac Strikeout
Bot 4th · off Aaron Civale
-6.7%

Top Batters by WPA

Jung Hoo Lee+11.7%+1.5 RE24
Drew Gilbert+9.4%+0.7 RE24
Max Muncy+5.1%+0.6 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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