MLB Recap · June 21, 2026

Minnesota Twins at Arizona Diamondbacks: Final Score & Recap

MIN4
Final
AZ2

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
MIN0000003014111
AZ020000000261

The Story

The Minnesota Twins handed the Arizona Diamondbacks a 4-2 defeat at Chase Field on June 21, 2026, erasing a two-run deficit with a three-run seventh inning and adding an insurance run in the ninth to complete the road win. The DiamondIQ model had opened the day favoring Arizona at 57% pre-game win probability, but that edge evaporated entirely by the final out.

The decisive moment came in the top of the seventh, when Alex Jackson delivered a single off Juan Morillo that swung win probability by 32.8 points in Minnesota's favor, the single largest play of the game. That hit served as the catalyst for the three-run frame that turned a 2-0 deficit into a 3-2 lead. Arizona's best chance to answer came in the bottom of the eighth, when Ildemaro Vargas came to the plate against Yoendrys Gómez with an opportunity to shift momentum, but his flyout represented a 16.5-point swing against the Diamondbacks and effectively sealed the game. Ketel Marte provided Arizona's offensive highlights, posting a double in the second inning worth 11.5 points of win probability and then reaching base again in the ninth, though his flyout off Anthony Banda in that frame actually added 14.4 points to Arizona's probability in a moot effort as the deficit held.

Alex Jackson finished as the game's most impactful player by the DiamondIQ model's estimate, accumulating 38.6% WPA and a RE24 of plus-2.3 to lead all batters. Marte was the top Diamondback with 23.1% WPA and plus-1.4 RE24 despite being on the losing side. On the mound, Yoendrys Gómez led all pitchers with 23.3% WPA, with Jose Cabrera and Brandyn Garcia each contributing double-digit figures in support as Minnesota's bullpen preserved the two-run win. Minnesota collected 11 hits to Arizona's six, with both teams committing one error.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025MIN bats firstFinalAZ win %MIN win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 56.5% → final 0%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Alex Jackson Single
Top 7th · off Juan Morillo
+32.8%
Ildemaro Vargas Flyout
Bot 8th · off Yoendrys Gómez
-16.5%
Ketel Marte Flyout
Bot 9th · off Anthony Banda
+14.4%
Ketel Marte Double
Bot 2nd · off Mike Paredes
+11.5%
Corbin Carroll Strikeout
Bot 7th · off Andrew Morris
-10.3%

Top Batters by WPA

Alex Jackson+38.6%+2.3 RE24
Ketel Marte+23.1%+1.4 RE24
Josh Bell+8.7%+0.7 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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