Baltimore Orioles at Los Angeles Dodgers: Final Score & Recap

The Baltimore Orioles took down the Los Angeles Dodgers 3-2 at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium on June 20, 2026, overcoming the DiamondIQ model's pre-game estimate of a 71 percent home win probability for Los Angeles. Baltimore scored all three of its runs in just two innings, pushing across one in the second and two more in the fourth, then held on through a tense ninth as the Dodgers mounted a two-run rally that fell just short. Trevor Rogers was the central figure on the mound for Baltimore, finishing as the game's top pitcher by win probability added at plus-46.5 percent, an extraordinary figure that reflects how thoroughly he neutralized a Dodgers lineup that entered with a significant perceived edge.

The decisive sequence came in the top of the fourth inning, where Blaze Alexander delivered a double off Yoshinobu Yamamoto that swung win probability 16.6 percent in Baltimore's favor. Alexander finished as the game's top batter by WPA at plus-20.8 percent with a RE24 of plus-1.0, making him the clear offensive catalyst. Jackson Holliday's strikeout later in the same inning trimmed 7.1 percent off Baltimore's probability, but the Orioles absorbed it and preserved the lead through eight shutout innings of Dodgers offense.

Baltimore closer Yennier Cano navigated a dangerous ninth despite allowing Los Angeles to score twice. Tommy Edman reached on a fielding error that added 13.0 percent win probability for the Dodgers, keeping the inning alive, but Cano responded by striking out Kyle Tucker to end the threat, a result that swung 19.0 percent back toward Baltimore and closed out the victory. Edman finished second among all batters at plus-12.6 percent WPA and plus-1.5 RE24, driven largely by that error, while Samuel Basallo added a quieter plus-7.9 percent WPA contribution to round out Baltimore's top performers.