Baltimore Orioles at Los Angeles Dodgers: Final Score & Recap

The Los Angeles Dodgers walked off the Baltimore Orioles 6-5 on June 19, 2026, at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium, completing a dramatic late-game reversal that the DiamondIQ model's estimate ultimately placed at 100% in the Dodgers' favor. Los Angeles entered the night as a heavy favorite, with the DiamondIQ model's pre-game home win probability set at 72%, and while that edge appeared to dissolve through the middle innings, the Dodgers reclaimed it in stunning fashion in the bottom of the ninth.

Baltimore had seized control with a six-run surge across the sixth and seventh innings. Gunnar Henderson's home run off Roki Sasaki in the top of the sixth was the game's second-largest single swing, adding 18.5% in win probability, and Pete Alonso followed with his own home run off Sasaki in the same frame, contributing another 13.8%. The Orioles added to their advantage in the seventh on a Jeremiah Jackson single off Will Klein that swung the probability a further 16.5%, with a Jackson Holliday walk adding 11.5% shortly after. Baltimore's bullpen held through eight innings, with Tyler Wells, Yennier Cano, and Andrew Kittredge each posting positive WPA contributions that helped maintain the lead heading into the final frame.

Then came the bottom of the ninth against Ryan Helsley, where Dalton Rushing erased all of it in one swing of momentum. His walk-off single produced the game's single largest probability shift at plus-82.1%, and his overall WPA of plus-70.2% made him the clear game-deciding performer despite modest run-production context reflected in his plus-0.2 RE24. Henderson finished as Baltimore's most productive bat by RE24 at plus-1.4, and Alonso's plus-0.7 RE24 represented the Orioles' most efficient run-creation, but none of it held against a Dodger lineup that manufactured three runs in the ninth to complete the 6-5 comeback.