Miami Marlins at Pittsburgh Pirates: Final Score & Recap

The Miami Marlins defeated the Pittsburgh Pirates 4-2 at PNC Park on June 14, 2026, handing the home side a loss despite Pittsburgh entering the game as a slight favorite. The DiamondIQ model's estimate opened at 54 percent in favor of Pittsburgh but closed at zero, a complete reversal driven by key moments in the final innings.

Miami did its damage in two concentrated bursts. The Marlins scored twice in the second inning to open the scoring, then held that lead through the middle frames before adding two more critical runs in the top of the eighth. The swing play of the game came when Kyle Stowers singled off Brandan Bidois in the top of the eighth, a hit that shifted win probability by plus 17.5 percent in Miami's favor and represented the single largest WPA swing of the contest. Stowers finished as the top batter by WPA at plus 12.8 percent. Bryan Reynolds provided Pittsburgh's most meaningful offensive contribution, posting a plus 9.1 percent WPA and a team-high plus 1.5 RE24, while Liam Hicks added plus 9.0 percent WPA on the Miami side. Pittsburgh's best late threat came in the bottom of the ninth when Ryan O'Hearn's lineout off Pete Fairbanks shifted 14.4 percent win probability back toward the Marlins, ending any realistic hope of a comeback.

On the mound, Max Meyer was the story for Miami, leading all pitchers with a plus 26.8 percent WPA over his outing as Pittsburgh managed only a run against him, which came in the fourth inning. Calvin Faucher contributed plus 9.7 percent WPA in relief, retiring Pittsburgh in the seventh after Tyler Callihan's strikeout proved to be a minus 9.7 percent swing against the Pirates. Paul Skenes posted plus 7.6 percent WPA for Pittsburgh in a losing effort. Miami finished with nine hits against eight for the Pirates, though Miami also committed two errors. The DiamondIQ model leans toward crediting Miami's pitching depth and the decisive eighth-inning sequence as the margin in this road victory.