Arizona Diamondbacks at Cincinnati Reds: Final Score & Recap

The Arizona Diamondbacks defeated the Cincinnati Reds 5-3 at Great American Ball Park on June 14, 2026, handing Cincinnati a loss the DiamondIQ model's estimate had as a coin flip before first pitch. Arizona scored in five of nine innings, building their advantage incrementally before pulling away in the late innings, while the Reds were unable to generate enough offense to overcome a pair of critical strikeouts and weak contact in the final frames.

The pivotal sequence came in the sixth inning, when Geraldo Perdomo launched a home run off Tejay Antone that swung win probability 24.1 points in Arizona's favor, representing the single largest positive batting play of the game. Cincinnati answered in the bottom half when Noelvi Marte connected off Zac Gallen for a home run that shifted things back 15.5 points toward the Reds, keeping the game within reach. Gabriel Moreno then delivered the decisive blow in the top of the eighth, a home run off Zach Maxwell that added another 18.7 points of win probability to Arizona's column. Any remaining Reds hopes evaporated in the bottom of the eighth when Marte, who had been Cincinnati's most impactful bat, struck out against Kevin Ginkel in a plate appearance that cost the home side 25.8 points of win probability, the largest single swing of the night. Blake Dunn's lineout to end the ninth against Paul Sewald closed the door.

Perdomo finished as the game's top overall performer by the DiamondIQ model's estimate, posting a 24.5 percent WPA and 1.9 RE24. Moreno contributed 11.8 percent WPA, while Nathaniel Lowe added 10.4 percent WPA with a 0.8 RE24. On the pitching side, Ginkel led all pitchers at 23.3 percent WPA, with Andrew Abbott close behind at 14.3 percent and Sam Moll adding 8.3 percent as Arizona's bullpen secured the two-run victory.