Miami Marlins at Pittsburgh Pirates: Final Score & Recap

The Pittsburgh Pirates held off the Miami Marlins 3-2 at PNC Park on June 13, 2026, in a tight contest that saw the DiamondIQ model's estimate of a Pittsburgh win climb from 55 percent before first pitch to a certainty by the final out. The Pirates struck first in the bottom of the first and matched Miami run for run through the middle innings, with Bryan Reynolds delivering the game's second-largest swing in the bottom of the third when his double off John King added 12.0 percent to Pittsburgh's win probability. The go-ahead margin materialized in the bottom of the eighth, where Spencer Horwitz was hit by a pitch from Anthony Bender, a moment that shifted Pittsburgh's win probability by 15.8 percent and proved to be the decisive turning point of the evening.

Miami mounted a ninth-inning threat against Gregory Soto but could not convert, with Connor Norby's strikeout and Liam Hicks's groundout each dropping the Marlins' win probability by 10.9 percent. Esteury Ruiz did provide a brief flicker with a single that briefly swung 10.6 percent in Miami's favor, but Soto closed the door to finish as one of Pittsburgh's most impactful pitchers by WPA at plus-15.2 percent. Michael Petersen led all pitchers with a plus-23.5 percent WPA contribution, and Bubba Chandler added another 12.5 percent. Among position players, Horwitz finished as the top offensive contributor at plus-12.1 percent WPA and plus-1.1 RE24, with Otto Lopez close behind at plus-11.8 percent WPA. The Pirates collected eight hits and committed no errors, holding the Marlins to seven hits in a game where Pittsburgh's late-game execution proved to be the difference.