MLB Recap · June 11, 2026

Los Angeles Dodgers at Pittsburgh Pirates: Final Score & Recap

LAD8
Final
PIT6

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
LAD0032002108100
PIT0000400206120

The Story

The Los Angeles Dodgers defeated the Pittsburgh Pirates 8-6 at PNC Park on June 11, 2026, handing the Pirates a loss the DiamondIQ model had assigned a 41 percent pre-game probability of avoiding. Los Angeles built a 5-0 lead through four innings, with the third inning doing the bulk of the early damage. Kyle Tucker's single off Mitch Keller was the inning's catalyst, shifting win probability by 13.7 percent in the Dodgers' favor, and Shohei Ohtani followed with a home run off Keller that added another 10.7 percent swing, pushing Pittsburgh into a sizable hole.

Pittsburgh's most significant counterpunch came in the bottom of the fifth, when Brandon Lowe connected for a home run off Justin Wrobleski, a swing worth plus-15.7 percent in win probability and the single biggest play of the game. That blast headlined a four-run inning that cut the deficit to one and briefly made a Pittsburgh rally look plausible. The Pirates added two more in the bottom of the eighth, keeping the game within reach, but the Dodgers answered with a run of their own that inning. The critical sequence that effectively sealed the outcome came in the top of the ninth, when closer Tanner Scott struck out Spencer Horwitz, a play the DiamondIQ model registered at plus-14.4 percent for the Dodgers — the second-largest swing of the night — extinguishing any remaining Pittsburgh threat.

Horwitz led all batters with a plus-21.7 percent WPA and 0.5 RE24, while Ohtani posted plus-11.9 percent WPA and 1.7 RE24, and Tyler Callihan contributed plus-9.7 percent WPA and 1.2 RE24 for Pittsburgh. Out of the bullpen, Yohan Ramírez was the most impactful arm with plus-7.0 percent WPA, followed by Jack Dreyer at plus-6.3 percent and Alex Vesia at plus-3.7 percent, a trio that helped Los Angeles hold the late Pittsburgh charge and close out the road victory.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025LAD bats firstFinalPIT win %LAD win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 40.7% → final 0%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Brandon Lowe Home Run
Bot 5th · off Justin Wrobleski
+15.7%
Spencer Horwitz Strikeout
Bot 9th · off Tanner Scott
+14.4%
Kyle Tucker Single
Top 3rd · off Mitch Keller
+13.7%
Nick Gonzales Strikeout
Bot 8th · off Edgardo Henriquez
-11.4%
Shohei Ohtani Home Run
Top 3rd · off Mitch Keller
+10.7%

Top Batters by WPA

Spencer Horwitz+21.7%+0.5 RE24
Shohei Ohtani+11.9%+1.7 RE24
Tyler Callihan+9.7%+1.2 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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