New York Yankees at Cleveland Guardians: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYY | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | 1 |
| CLE | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 2 |
The Story
The New York Yankees defeated the Cleveland Guardians 8-4 at Progressive Field on June 10, 2026, handing the home side a loss that the DiamondIQ model's estimate reflected in real time, with Cleveland's pre-game win probability of 45 percent collapsing to zero by the final out. The Yankees scored in three separate innings — the second, sixth, and seventh — while the Guardians managed their only sustained threat in the fourth before ultimately being shut out the rest of the way until a consolation run in the ninth. New York produced 11 hits against Cleveland pitching while holding the Guardians to just six.
The decisive sequence came in the top of the sixth inning, where the Yankees turned a close game into a comfortable lead. Anthony Volpe's double off Matt Festa was the single most impactful plate appearance of the night, shifting win probability by 14.2 percentage points in New York's favor. Trent Grisham followed with a triple off Parker Messick worth 9.9 percentage points, and Paul Goldschmidt added a single off Festa that moved the needle another 8.0 points. The Yankees then extended further in the seventh, where José Caballero's single off Codi Heuer contributed an additional 6.8-point swing. Cleveland's most consequential moment came in the fourth, when Austin Hedges doubled off Carlos Rodón for an 11.8-point boost, representing the Guardians' best and ultimately only real opportunity to wrestle control of the game.
Volpe finished as the night's top performer by the DiamondIQ model's accounting, posting a cumulative WPA of plus-18.9 percent and a RE24 of plus-2.5, making him the clear catalyst for the Yankees' victory. Hedges led Cleveland's limited bright spots with a WPA of plus-10.3 and an RE24 of plus-1.8, while Stuart Fairchild contributed a WPA of plus-9.2 for New York. On the mound, Carlos Rodón led Yankees pitchers with a WPA of plus-2.9, absorbing the Guardians' fourth-inning push while still coming out ahead in cumulative value, followed by Brent Headrick at plus-1.7.