Los Angeles Dodgers at Arizona Diamondbacks: Final Score & Recap

The Arizona Diamondbacks walked off the Los Angeles Dodgers 3-2 at Chase Field on June 4, 2026, completing a late comeback that erased a two-run deficit and left the DiamondIQ model's pre-game home win probability of 43 percent finishing at 100 percent. The Dodgers had broken a scoreless game in the fifth inning on a Ryan Ward double off Ryne Nelson, a play that carried a win-probability swing of plus 14.0 percent, and held that 2-0 lead through seven innings before Arizona began its rally in the eighth.

The eighth inning proved to be the turning point. With Will Klein on the mound, Corbin Carroll launched a home run that added 18.8 percent in win probability and cut the deficit to one. The threat continued against Alex Vesia when Geraldo Perdomo singled, a play worth plus 23.7 percent in win probability that knotted the game at two and set the stage for the ninth. Arizona then delivered the decisive blow when Ketel Marte connected for a walk-off home run off Tanner Scott in the bottom of the ninth, the single largest swing of the game at plus 41.4 percent win probability. Santiago Espinal's strikeout to end the top of the ninth off Paul Sewald, a minus 10.9 percent swing, had cleared the way for that climax.

Marte led all players with a WPA of plus 30.7 percent, while Perdomo finished at plus 25.5 percent with a RE24 of plus 1.0. Carroll contributed plus 17.8 percent WPA and a RE24 of plus 1.3. On the pitching side, Justin Wrobleski paced Arizona's staff with plus 26.4 percent WPA, and Paul Sewald added plus 13.5 percent before Marte ended it. The Dodgers finished with six hits and no errors against Arizona's eleven-hit, error-free performance, with the DiamondIQ model ultimately favoring Arizona's late-game execution as the decisive factor.