MLB Recap · May 31, 2026

Philadelphia Phillies at Los Angeles Dodgers: Final Score & Recap

PHI1
Final
LAD9

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
PHI000000001150
LAD01122111-9131

The Story

The Los Angeles Dodgers dominated the Philadelphia Phillies 9-1 on May 31, 2026, at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium, turning what the DiamondIQ model pegged as a 67 percent pre-game home win probability into a near-foregone conclusion well before the final out. Los Angeles scored in seven of nine innings, building methodically against a Philadelphia starter who could not escape damage. The Phillies managed just five hits and their lone run came in the ninth, long after the outcome had been decided.

Andrew Painter bore the brunt of the damage and was the central figure in the game's most consequential sequence. The biggest play of the night came in the bottom of the third, when Kyle Tucker singled off Painter to add 8.9 percent to the Dodgers' win probability. The inning before, Alex Freeland had already done harm with a double that swung win probability 8.4 percent in Los Angeles's favor. The fourth inning finished Painter completely, as Ryan Ward connected for a home run worth 8.0 percent and Freeland followed with another home run adding 6.3 percent, a two-home-run inning that effectively closed the competitive window. The only notable Phillies response was Justin Crawford's double off Yoshinobu Yamamoto in the fifth, a swing worth 6.9 percent that briefly trimmed the model's estimate before Yamamoto steadied.

Freeland led all players with a combined WPA of plus-14.5 percent and an RE24 of plus-2.2, his double and home run accounting for the evening's two and fifth most impactful plays. Tucker contributed plus-5.7 percent WPA and Ward plus-5.5 percent, giving the Dodgers three batters who each moved the needle meaningfully on their own. On the mound, Yamamoto finished with a plus-10.4 percent WPA, the top mark for any pitcher in the game, allowing the one damaging Crawford double while otherwise suppressing Philadelphia across his outing. Will Klein added plus-1.1 percent in relief as Los Angeles coasted to the final margin of nine.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025PHI bats firstFinalLAD win %PHI win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 67.2% → final 100%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Kyle Tucker Single
Bot 3rd · off Andrew Painter
+8.9%
Alex Freeland Double
Bot 2nd · off Andrew Painter
+8.4%
Ryan Ward Home Run
Bot 4th · off Andrew Painter
+8.0%
Justin Crawford Double
Top 5th · off Yoshinobu Yamamoto
+6.9%
Alex Freeland Home Run
Bot 4th · off Andrew Painter
+6.3%

Top Batters by WPA

Alex Freeland+14.5%+2.2 RE24
Kyle Tucker+5.7%+1.1 RE24
Ryan Ward+5.5%+0.7 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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