MLB Recap · May 31, 2026

Miami Marlins at New York Mets: Final Score & Recap

MIA1
Final
NYM10

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
MIA000100000131
NYM12020500-1091

The Story

The New York Mets routed the Miami Marlins 10-1 at Citi Field on May 31, 2026, a result that was never seriously in doubt after New York scored in five of the first six innings. The DiamondIQ model entered the night giving the Mets a 55 percent win probability, and by the final out that figure had reached 100 percent as New York finished with nine hits against three for Miami, which also committed an error.

The game turned decisively across the second through sixth innings. Marcus Semien got New York on the board in the bottom of the second with a home run off Anthony Bender, a swing that shifted win probability by plus 12.6 percent and set the tone for the evening. Miami briefly threatened in the top of the fourth when Owen Caissie doubled off Nolan McLean to generate a plus 12.5 percent swing for the Marlins, but that momentum evaporated quickly as Liam Hicks and Esteury Ruiz both grounded out to McLean, costing Miami minus 8.8 and minus 8.4 percent respectively. New York answered immediately in the bottom half when Luis Torrens singled off Calvin Faucher for a plus 11.5 percent swing, and the Mets put the game away with a five-run sixth inning.

By the win-probability accounting, Torrens was the night's most impactful offensive performer, finishing at plus 17.3 percent WPA alongside a RE24 of plus 1.6, while Semien posted plus 14.8 percent WPA and the game's best RE24 at plus 2.5. Caissie added plus 13.1 percent WPA and a RE24 of plus 1.4 despite playing for the losing side. On the mound, McLean led all pitchers at plus 9.5 percent WPA for New York, with David Peterson contributing plus 3.3 percent and Cade Gibson adding plus 1.5 percent as the Mets completed a dominant wire-to-wire victory.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025MIA bats firstFinalNYM win %MIA win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 54.7% → final 100%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Marcus Semien Home Run
Bot 2nd · off Anthony Bender
+12.6%
Owen Caissie Double
Top 4th · off Nolan McLean
+12.5%
Luis Torrens Single
Bot 4th · off Calvin Faucher
+11.5%
Liam Hicks Groundout
Top 4th · off Nolan McLean
-8.8%
Esteury Ruiz Groundout
Top 4th · off Nolan McLean
-8.4%

Top Batters by WPA

Luis Torrens+17.3%+1.6 RE24
Marcus Semien+14.8%+2.5 RE24
Owen Caissie+13.1%+1.4 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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