Arizona Diamondbacks at San Francisco Giants: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AZ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 |
| SF | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 |
The Story
The Arizona Diamondbacks held on for a 3-2 road victory over the San Francisco Giants at Oracle Park on May 27, 2026, completing a comeback that saw Arizona score all three of its runs after falling behind in the third inning. San Francisco grabbed a 2-0 advantage in the bottom of the third when Luis Arraez singled off Michael Soroka, a play the DiamondIQ model's estimate valued at an 11.4-percentage-point swing toward the Giants. Arizona answered in the top of the sixth, where a walk drawn by Ryan Waldschmidt off Trevor McDonald proved pivotal, shifting win probability 11.9 points in Arizona's favor and igniting a two-run frame. The Diamondbacks added another run in the seventh to take the lead they would not relinquish.
The DiamondIQ model's estimate opened the night giving San Francisco a 37 percent chance to win at home, and the Giants appeared to be building on that edge early, but the game's most consequential sequence unraveled their chances in the eighth inning. Kevin Ginkel, who finished as the top-performing pitcher by WPA at plus-23.3 percentage points, navigated serious trouble when Luis Arraez singled to cut into Arizona's lead, a play that shifted probability 14.4 points toward San Francisco. That damage was immediately neutralized when Casey Schmitt was caught on a pickoff at second base, a 12.9-point swing back toward the Diamondbacks that effectively extinguished the Giants' best rally opportunity.
Matt Chapman was the single most impactful batter in the game despite ending up on the wrong side of the final out for San Francisco. His flyout to close the ninth registered a plus-31.6-percentage-point swing for Arizona's win probability, as it came with the potential tying or winning run on base and sealed the result, leaving Chapman with a net WPA of plus-23.8 from Arizona's perspective while finishing at minus-0.8 in run expectancy for San Francisco. Willy Adames contributed meaningfully as well, posting plus-17.2 WPA and plus-0.9 RE24 to anchor the Diamondbacks' offensive ledger. Caleb Kilian added plus-11.0 WPA on the pitching staff, and the combination of Arizona's bullpen work and timely hitting was enough to hand the Giants a final win probability of zero.