MLB Recap · May 26, 2026

Miami Marlins at Toronto Blue Jays: Final Score & Recap

MIA1
Final
TOR8

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
MIA000010000150
TOR01100600-8122

The Story

The Toronto Blue Jays routed the Miami Marlins 8-1 at Rogers Centre on May 26, 2026, turning what the DiamondIQ model opened as a 55 percent home-win probability into a near-certainty by the end of the sixth inning, where the model's estimate reached 100 percent. Toronto's offense was largely quiet through five frames, managing just a run apiece in the second and third innings, but the Blue Jays erupted for six runs in the bottom of the sixth to put the game decisively out of reach. Miami's lone bright spot came in the top of the fifth, when Heriberto Hernández singled off Spencer Miles to swing win probability 11.3 percent in the Marlins' favor, a fleeting moment that represented the closest Miami came to threatening.

The sixth inning belonged entirely to Toronto, with Yohendrick Piñango and Jesús Sánchez doing the bulk of the damage against Sandy Alcantara. Piñango's home run off Alcantara carried a win-probability swing of plus 11.2 percent, and Sánchez followed with his own home run for an additional plus 9.2 percent swing, the two blasts forming the backbone of the decisive frame. Ernie Clement had provided the game's first significant punch in the second inning, also going deep off Alcantara for a plus 7.4 percent swing. Piñango had worked against himself in the third, grounding into a double play that cost Toronto 8.4 percent in win probability, but he more than atoned for it by night's end.

Sánchez finished as the game's top performer by the DiamondIQ model's accounting, posting plus 17.6 percent in WPA and a RE24 of plus 4.0, reflecting his outsized contribution to Toronto's run environment. Hernández led Miami's side with plus 9.6 percent WPA despite the team's lopsided final line of 1 run on 5 hits. On the mound, Spencer Miles paced all pitchers with plus 12.1 percent WPA, holding the Marlins in check across his time of work and keeping Toronto's probability cushion intact. The Blue Jays finished with 12 hits against Miami's 5, with the error column showing two for Toronto but none affecting the outcome in any meaningful way given the margin.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025MIA bats firstFinalTOR win %MIA win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 54.8% → final 100%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Top 5th · off Spencer Miles
+11.3%
Yohendrick Piñango Home Run
Bot 6th · off Sandy Alcantara
+11.2%
Jesús Sánchez Home Run
Bot 6th · off Sandy Alcantara
+9.2%
Yohendrick Piñango Grounded Into DP
Bot 3rd · off Sandy Alcantara
-8.4%
Ernie Clement Home Run
Bot 2nd · off Sandy Alcantara
+7.4%

Top Batters by WPA

Jesús Sánchez+17.6%+4.0 RE24
Heriberto Hernández+9.6%+0.1 RE24
George Springer+8.3%+1.5 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
Open Game Center →