Washington Nationals at Atlanta Braves: Final Score & Recap

The Washington Nationals handed the Atlanta Braves a 2-0 shutout at Truist Park on May 23, 2026, holding a club that entered with a 72 percent pre-game win probability per the DiamondIQ model to just one hit across nine innings. Washington's offense was equally efficient, with seven hits doing precisely the damage required, as the model's estimate of Atlanta's chances collapsed from that commanding 72 percent pregame figure all the way to zero by the final out.

The scoring came in back-to-back innings against Grant Holmes, who absorbed the brunt of Washington's attack. Dylan Crews delivered the game's most consequential offensive moment in the fourth inning, a home run that shifted win probability 11.6 points in Washington's favor, and Jorbit Vivas followed with another solo shot in the fifth that added another 11.2 points. Vivas finished as the game's top offensive contributor by WPA at plus-12.9 percent with a RE24 of plus-1.1, while Crews checked in at plus-8.0 percent WPA and Keibert Ruiz, who had doubled off Holmes in the third to set an early tone, contributed plus-7.1 percent WPA. The lone negative swing of significance on Washington's side came in that same third inning, when Luis García Jr. grounded into a double play to erase a brewing opportunity, costing the Nationals 15.5 points of win probability.

On the mound, Jake Irvin was the story, posting a plus-33.7 percent WPA mark that anchored the entire effort, with Brad Lord adding plus-29.6 percent and Dylan Dodd contributing plus-12.0 percent out of the bullpen. Together they reduced Atlanta to that single hit, and Ozzie Albies' groundout to end the ninth — technically the game's second-largest positive WPA swing at plus-14.4 percent from Washington's perspective — was little more than a formality by that point. The DiamondIQ model leans heavily toward Washington's pitching staff as the decisive factor in this result.