MLB Recap · May 23, 2026

Athletics at San Diego Padres: Final Score & Recap

ATH0
Final
SD2

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
ATH000000000050
SD01100000-220

The Story

The San Diego Padres shut out the Oakland Athletics 2-0 on May 23, 2026, at Petco Park, with the DiamondIQ model's estimate moving from a 65 percent pre-game home win probability all the way to 100 percent by game's end. San Diego's two runs came in the second and third innings, and the pitching staff held that slim lead without further incident through nine frames. Oakland managed five hits but failed to convert any of them into runs, with the game's most damaging swings all coming at the Athletics' expense.

The win-probability timeline was dominated by double plays. Jeff McNeil's ground into a double play in the top of the fourth, coming off Lucas Giolito, was the single biggest momentum shift of the night, costing Oakland 17.2 percent in win probability. A similar sequence unfolded in the fifth, when Carlos Cortes hit into a double play that drained another 9.5 percent, and Nick Kurtz had contributed an earlier double-play ground ball in the third worth minus 8.4 percent. The lone significant positive swing for Oakland came on Henry Bolte's walk in the fourth, which added 6.9 percent, but it amounted to nothing against Giolito's command of the situation. On the San Diego side, Jackson Merrill's third-inning double off José Suarez generated a 7.2 percent swing and set the tone for the Padres offense.

Giolito was the standout performer of the night by the DiamondIQ model's accounting, generating 14.3 percent in win probability added while repeatedly inducing the double plays that extinguished Oakland's threats. Jason Adam added 8.1 percent and Adrian Morejon contributed another 7.2 percent as the bullpen preserved the shutout. Among position players, Merrill finished as the top offensive contributor with 8.8 percent WPA and a RE24 of plus 1.0, while Fernando Tatis Jr. added 4.6 percent WPA and 0.9 RE24 to round out a balanced if low-scoring Padres victory.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025ATH bats firstFinalSD win %ATH win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 64.5% → final 100%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Jeff McNeil Grounded Into DP
Top 4th · off Lucas Giolito
-17.2%
Carlos Cortes Double Play
Top 5th · off Lucas Giolito
-9.5%
Nick Kurtz Grounded Into DP
Top 3rd · off Lucas Giolito
-8.4%
Jackson Merrill Double
Bot 3rd · off José Suarez
+7.2%
Henry Bolte Walk
Top 4th · off Lucas Giolito
+6.9%

Top Batters by WPA

Jackson Merrill+8.8%+1.0 RE24
Fernando Tatis Jr.+4.6%+0.9 RE24
Darell Hernaiz+3.8%+0.0 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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