Milwaukee Brewers at Minnesota Twins: Final Score & Recap

The Minnesota Twins defeated the Milwaukee Brewers 5-4 at Target Field on May 17, 2026, in a game that saw the DiamondIQ model's estimate of a home win climb from 40 percent before first pitch all the way to 100 percent by the final out. Minnesota built its lead incrementally, scoring in the first, third, fifth, and eighth innings, while Milwaukee answered with runs in the second, fourth, fifth, and ninth but could never fully close the gap. The Brewers finished with ten hits against six for the Twins, yet Milwaukee's error and an inability to convert late opportunities proved costly.

The game's pivotal sequences unfolded across several key moments. Kody Clemens delivered the largest single swing of the night, a double off Robert Gasser in the bottom of the third that added 16.2 percent to Minnesota's win probability and helped fuel a two-run frame. The fifth inning became a back-and-forth exchange of home runs: Christian Yelich answered with a solo shot off Bailey Ober that swung win probability 12.4 percent in Milwaukee's favor, only for Ryan Jeffers to respond immediately with a home run off Grant Anderson worth an identical 12.4 percent for the Twins. In the eighth inning, Jake Bauers gave Milwaukee brief hope with a double off Taylor Rogers adding 11.8 percent, but Luis Rengifo's groundout against Justin Topa swung the leverage 10.8 percent back toward Minnesota and effectively ended the Brewers' threat.

Jeffers led all position players with a WPA of plus 16.8 percent and a RE24 of plus 1.2, while Joey Ortiz contributed plus 15.7 percent WPA and a team-best plus 1.4 RE24 among the top performers. Clemens rounded out the standout bats at plus 13.9 percent WPA and plus 2.3 RE24. On the mound, Justin Topa was the most impactful reliever at plus 14.1 percent WPA, with Andrew Morris adding plus 13.3 percent and DL Hall contributing plus 6.6 percent as Minnesota's bullpen secured the one-run victory.