MLB Recap · May 15, 2026

Toronto Blue Jays at Detroit Tigers: Final Score & Recap

TOR2
Final
DET3

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
TOR020000000251
DET001001001370

The Story

Detroit walked off Toronto 3-2 at Comerica Park on May 15, 2026, with Spencer Torkelson delivering the decisive blow in the bottom of the ninth. The DiamondIQ model entered the game giving Detroit a 55 percent win probability, and that estimate climbed to 100 percent the moment Torkelson's walk-off double off Jeff Hoffman cleared the infield, a swing that added 37.4 percent in win probability and stood as the single most impactful play of the game. Toronto had jumped ahead with a two-run second inning, highlighted by Andrés Giménez's double off Brant Hurter that added 9.0 percent in win probability, and the Blue Jays carried that lead into the sixth before Detroit began its methodical comeback.

The Tigers chipped away against Trey Yesavage in the sixth, with Riley Greene's double adding 10.4 percent in win probability and Dillon Dingler following with a single worth another 9.1 percent to knot the game. Detroit tied it again in the ninth to set the stage for Torkelson. Detroit's pitching held Toronto at bay through the late innings, with Drew Anderson finishing as the top pitcher by win probability added at plus 30.4 percent, followed by Kenley Jansen at plus 13.5 percent and Yesavage at plus 12.8 percent. Toronto's best chance to extend its lead evaporated in the seventh when Hao-Yu Lee grounded into a double play off Braydon Fisher, a sequence that cost the Blue Jays 8.6 percent in win probability.

Torkelson finished as the game's top performer by WPA at plus 31.1 percent to go along with a plus 0.8 RE24, while Dingler contributed plus 7.8 percent WPA and a plus 0.9 RE24 in a supporting role that proved essential to Detroit's comeback. Detroit collected seven hits against five for Toronto and played error-free ball, finishing with a clean defensive ledger as Toronto committed one error. The final line score told the story of a tight, low-scoring contest decided in one burst, with the Tigers scratching across single runs in the third, sixth, and ninth to complete the comeback victory.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025TOR bats firstFinalDET win %TOR win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 55.3% → final 100%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Bot 9th · off Jeff Hoffman
+37.4%
Riley Greene Double
Bot 6th · off Trey Yesavage
+10.4%
Dillon Dingler Single
Bot 6th · off Trey Yesavage
+9.1%
Andrés Giménez Double
Top 2nd · off Brant Hurter
+9.0%
Hao-Yu Lee Grounded Into DP
Bot 7th · off Braydon Fisher
-8.6%

Top Batters by WPA

Spencer Torkelson+31.1%+0.8 RE24
Dillon Dingler+7.8%+0.9 RE24
Riley Greene+4.6%+0.4 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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