Detroit Tigers at New York Mets: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DET | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 1 |
| NYM | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | 9 | 10 | 0 |
The Story
The New York Mets defeated the Detroit Tigers 9-4 at Citi Field on May 14, 2026, turning what opened as a relatively even contest into a comfortable home victory. The DiamondIQ model entered the game giving the Mets a 53 percent win probability, and by the final out that figure had climbed to 100 percent, a swing driven almost entirely by a dominant stretch of New York offense in the middle innings.
The decisive sequence came in the fourth and fifth innings, where the Mets put the game firmly out of reach. Brett Baty led the charge with a home run off Keider Montero in the bottom of the fourth, a swing that added 22.0 percent to New York's win probability and proved to be the single most impactful play of the game. The Tigers had actually taken a 3-0 lead on Detroit's three-run first, but a Marcus Semien double play in the bottom of the second had briefly stalled the Mets' early response, costing New York 11.5 percent in win probability at that stage. The Mets answered with A.J. Ewing's home run off Montero in the third, worth 9.4 percent, before Baty's shot and then a fifth-inning burst that included a Mark Vientos home run off Tyler Holton, adding 19.6 percent, and a Juan Soto single worth another 11.7 percent sealed Detroit's fate.
Baty finished as the game's top performer by both WPA and run expectancy, posting a plus-23.3 percent win probability contribution and a RE24 of plus-1.8. Vientos added plus-9.9 percent WPA with a RE24 of plus-1.3, while Soto contributed plus-9.8 percent WPA and a RE24 of plus-1.0. On the mound, Nolan McLean led all pitchers with a plus-10.0 percent WPA, and the Detroit errors compounded Montero's difficult outing as the Mets' lineup did consistent damage across the middle of the game.