Philadelphia Phillies at Boston Red Sox: Final Score & Recap

The Philadelphia Phillies handed the Boston Red Sox a 3-1 defeat at Fenway Park on May 14, 2026, in a game that remained scoreless through seven innings before all four runs crossed the plate in the eighth. The DiamondIQ model opened with Boston holding a 48 percent pre-game win probability, but by the final out that figure had dropped to zero. The pivotal moment of the night came in the top of the eighth when Kyle Schwarber connected on a home run off Tyler Samaniego, a swing the DiamondIQ model valued at a 26.9 percent win-probability shift in Philadelphia's favor. That blow served as the engine of what became a three-run Phillies half-inning, and it proved to be the decisive sequence of the contest.

Boston mounted a brief response in the bottom of the eighth. Wilyer Abreu's single off José Alvarado generated an 11.1 percent win-probability gain for the Red Sox and contributed to the one run they did score, pushing Abreu to a game total of plus 13.0 percent WPA. However, Trevor Story's strikeout against Alvarado removed 12.3 percent from Boston's win chances and effectively ended the rally. The Red Sox finished with seven hits and one error, but Jhoan Duran closed things out in the ninth, aided by Jarren Duran's strikeout to end the game, a result that added 12.0 percent to Philadelphia's win probability.

On the pitching side, Jesús Luzardo led all performers with a plus 28.0 percent WPA contribution, while Ranger Suarez added plus 22.8 percent, together accounting for the bulk of the Phillies' effort through the middle innings. Schwarber finished as the top offensive contributor at plus 21.3 percent WPA and a RE24 of plus 0.9, matching Wilyer Abreu's RE24 figure. Andruw Monasterio also made a quiet but meaningful impact, finishing at plus 10.5 percent WPA and plus 0.7 RE24. Philadelphia collected nine hits without committing an error, while the model's lean throughout the game reflected what the box score ultimately confirmed.