Tampa Bay Rays at Toronto Blue Jays: Final Score & Recap

The Tampa Bay Rays held off the Toronto Blue Jays 7-6 in ten innings on May 12, 2026, at Rogers Centre, completing a comeback that the DiamondIQ model's estimate had given just a 29 percent chance of achieving before first pitch. The Rays scored twice in the third to take an early lead, and Toronto answered with a five-run seventh inning that swung momentum sharply in the Blue Jays' favor. Yohendrick Piñango's double in the bottom of the seventh was the single biggest swing of that frame, adding 22.8 percent to Toronto's win probability, and Vladimir Guerrero Jr. followed with a single worth another 20.7 percent, turning what had been a Rays advantage into a substantial Toronto lead heading into the final innings.

Tampa Bay clawed back in the ninth and then finished the job in the tenth. Jonny DeLuca's single off Louis Varland in the top of the ninth added 18.0 percent to the Rays' win probability, and Ben Williamson's strikeout in that same frame had briefly swung things 18.8 percent back toward Toronto, illustrating how tightly contested the inning was. When the game moved to extras, the Rays pushed across two runs and needed only one more out in the bottom of the tenth, which came when Andrés Giménez grounded out against Garrett Cleavinger, a play that added 27.0 percent to Tampa Bay's win probability and sealed the result.

Among individual performers, Piñango led all batters with a cumulative WPA of plus-23.8 percent and a RE24 of plus-1.9, while Giménez finished at plus-21.6 percent despite his negative RE24 of minus-0.7, reflecting how his final out carried outsized win-probability significance in the closing moments. Taylor Walls contributed plus-20.1 percent WPA on the offensive side. On the mound, Shane McClanahan led Tampa Bay's pitching staff with plus-15.2 percent WPA, supported by Louis Varland at plus-13.5 percent and Tyler Rogers at plus-10.6 percent, a collective effort that held Toronto to six runs on seven hits across ten innings.