MLB Recap · May 11, 2026

Arizona Diamondbacks at Texas Rangers: Final Score & Recap

AZ1
Final
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Line Score

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AZ100000000160
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The Story

The Arizona Diamondbacks shut out the Texas Rangers 1-0 on May 11, 2026, at Globe Life Field, scoring the game's only run in the first inning and then protecting that lead for the final eight frames. The DiamondIQ model's estimate opened at a dead-even 50 percent home win probability before the game and closed at zero, tracking a slow and steady transfer of control to the visiting club across nine tightly contested innings.

The most consequential moment of the game came in the bottom of the ninth, when Josh Jung's flyout off Paul Sewald registered a win-probability swing of plus-27.0 percent in Texas's favor — the largest single-play swing of the night — yet still left the Rangers on the wrong side of the ledger. That play illustrated just how close the Rangers came to mounting a real threat late, and Brandon Nimmo's subsequent strikeout against Sewald, which swung win probability 8.5 percent back toward Arizona, effectively sealed it. An inning earlier, Kyle Higashioka's flyout against Taylor Clarke had cut Texas's win probability by 24.2 percent, erasing the damage from Alejandro Osuna's run-scoring single that had briefly animated the home dugout with an 8.6 percent swing.

On the pitching side, Michael Soroka was the game's dominant force, leading all pitchers with a plus-41.2 percent WPA in the DiamondIQ model's accounting, followed by Clarke at plus-23.3 percent and Tyler Alexander at plus-21.4 percent. Jung led all position players with a plus-18.7 percent WPA despite a minus-1.4 RE24, a reflection of his role in a high-leverage situation that ultimately did not produce. Arizona finished with six hits and no errors against four for Texas, and the model leans toward crediting the D-backs' pitching staff as the primary driver of the outcome.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025AZ bats firstFinalTEX win %AZ win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 50.3% → final 0%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Josh Jung Flyout
Bot 9th · off Paul Sewald
+27.0%
Kyle Higashioka Flyout
Bot 8th · off Taylor Clarke
-24.2%
Jose Fernandez Strikeout
Top 8th · off Tyler Alexander
-9.9%
Alejandro Osuna Single
Bot 8th · off Taylor Clarke
+8.6%
Brandon Nimmo Strikeout
Bot 9th · off Paul Sewald
-8.5%

Top Batters by WPA

Josh Jung+18.7%-1.4 RE24
Alejandro Osuna+3.7%-0.1 RE24
Ketel Marte+3.3%-0.1 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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