Minnesota Twins at Cleveland Guardians: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIN | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 1 |
| CLE | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 0 |
The Story
The Minnesota Twins won a tight road game at Progressive Field on May 10, 2026, beating the Cleveland Guardians 5-4 despite the DiamondIQ model entering the night with a 60 percent home win probability for Cleveland. The Twins scratched out a run in the third inning before a four-run fifth proved to be the decisive burst, with Cleveland managing single runs in the third, fifth, sixth, and eighth to keep the game within reach. Minnesota finished with 13 hits against 11 for Cleveland, with the Twins' lone error representing the only blemish on an otherwise well-executed performance.
The game's most significant moment came in the bottom of the ninth, when Travis Bazzana's groundout represented the final out of a +31.6 percent win-probability swing in favor of Cleveland — a failed rally attempt that sealed the Twins' win. That play came off reliever Yoendrys Gómez, who closed the door when it mattered most. The model's most damaging sequence for Cleveland came in the bottom of the eighth, when Rhys Hoskins grounded out off Luis García, a -23.3 percent swing that collapsed a potential late Cleveland comeback. Earlier, José Ramírez had provided some hope with a third-inning single off Kendry Rojas that added 14.1 percent to Cleveland's win probability, but Minnesota's Luke Keaschall erased momentum in the top of the fourth with a double-play groundout against Gavin Williams, a -13.0 percent shift that deflated a Twins threat.
On the individual side, Travis Bazzana led all position players by the DiamondIQ model's estimate with a +39.4 percent WPA and a +0.7 RE24, while Brayan Rocchio contributed +15.7 percent WPA and a team-best +1.2 RE24 among the top performers listed. Kody Clemens added +15.0 percent WPA and a +1.4 RE24, suggesting he was particularly effective in high-leverage run-environment situations. On the mound, Anthony Banda was Minnesota's most impactful reliever with a +12.3 percent WPA, supported by Kendry Rojas at +8.3 percent and Franco Aleman at +7.7 percent, a trio that collectively shut down Cleveland's comeback attempts and preserved the one-run road victory.