Chicago Cubs at Texas Rangers: Final Score & Recap

The Texas Rangers shut out the Chicago Cubs 3-0 on May 10, 2026, at Globe Life Field, overcoming a pre-game DiamondIQ model estimate of just 36 percent home win probability to finish the night at 100 percent. Texas was held scoreless through three innings before breaking through in the fourth and then putting the game away with a two-run eighth, holding Chicago to three hits and committing no errors across nine innings.

The decisive sequence began in the bottom of the fourth, where a Joc Pederson double generated a 9.0 percent win-probability swing and an Alejandro Osuna fielder's choice added another 8.3 percent, giving Texas its first run of the night. The Cubs had briefly applied pressure in the top half when Nico Hoerner lofted a double off Jacob deGrom for a 6.9 percent positive swing, but a Danny Jansen ground into a double play in the Rangers' fourth erased Texas's own nascent threat and cost Chicago 11.0 percent in win probability. The game's single biggest play came in the bottom of the eighth, when Evan Carter connected on a home run off Daniel Palencia for a 20.4 percent swing that effectively sealed the outcome.

Jacob deGrom was the story on the mound, producing 45.4 percent of Texas's cumulative win-probability added by his pitching performance, the highest mark of any player in the game. Relievers Jacob Latz and Phil Maton contributed an additional 13.2 and 10.4 percent respectively, combining with deGrom to keep the Cubs' offense off the board entirely. Offensively, Carter finished as the Rangers' top batter at plus-12.0 percent WPA and plus-1.0 RE24, while Osuna posted plus-9.3 percent WPA and Josh Jung added plus-9.1 percent, giving Texas a balanced multi-contributor attack against a Cubs team that never found an answer.