Pittsburgh Pirates at San Francisco Giants: Final Score & Recap

The San Francisco Giants defeated the Pittsburgh Pirates 5-2 at Oracle Park on May 8, 2026, a result the DiamondIQ model's estimate went from a 40 percent home win probability before first pitch to 100 percent by the final out. The game turned on a series of momentum-shifting plays concentrated in the early and middle innings, with Pittsburgh repeatedly failing to capitalize while San Francisco steadily built its advantage.

The decisive swing in win probability came in the bottom of the seventh inning, when Heliot Ramos delivered a double off Justin Lawrence that added 8.9 percent to San Francisco's win probability, part of a three-run frame that effectively closed the door on Pittsburgh. Ramos finished as the game's top batter by WPA at plus-18.1 percent with a RE24 of plus-1.3, while Rafael Devers and Marcell Ozuna each contributed plus-11.5 percent WPA, with Ozuna posting the highest RE24 among position players at plus-1.4. Devers had set the tone early, connecting on a home run off Carmen Mlodzinski in the bottom of the second that added 7.7 percent to San Francisco's win probability. On the Pittsburgh side, Oneil Cruz was central to the Pirates' offensive struggles, contributing a strikeout and a ground into double play off Robbie Ray in the third and sixth innings worth negative-8.0 and negative-7.8 percent WPA respectively.

Robbie Ray was the game's dominant force by pitching WPA, posting a plus-27.1 percent contribution that anchored San Francisco's staff effort. Keaton Winn added plus-8.5 percent and Matt Gage contributed plus-1.9 percent as the Giants held Pittsburgh to two runs on five hits without committing an error, while Mlodzinski absorbed the early damage including Devers's home run and a Luis Arraez double play in the third that carried a negative-10.4 percent WPA swing against Pittsburgh's chances.