Milwaukee Brewers at Washington Nationals: Final Score & Recap

The Milwaukee Brewers handed the Washington Nationals a 4-1 defeat at Nationals Park on May 2, 2026, with the DiamondIQ model's estimate of a Washington win opening at 42% before falling to 0% by game's end. Milwaukee struck early and decisively, plating three runs in the first inning to seize control, and the Nationals never fully recovered from that deficit despite out-hitting the Brewers nine to seven on the night.

The game's most consequential sequence came in the seventh inning, where Washington momentarily stirred against reliever Grant Anderson. José Tena's double shifted win probability by plus-10.2 percent in the Nationals' favor, representing the single largest swing of the game. However, Luis García Jr. followed with a flyout that swung probability back 7.4 percent toward Milwaukee, effectively extinguishing the rally before it could take hold. An earlier moment that quietly shaped the game's trajectory came in the third inning, when Keibert Ruiz grounded into a double play off Kyle Harrison, a swing of minus-8.0 percent for Washington that kept the Brewers comfortably ahead.

Kyle Harrison was the game's dominant individual performer by a wide margin, finishing with a plus-29.3 percent WPA, making him the clear anchor of the Milwaukee effort on the mound. Foster Griffin and DL Hall supplemented him out of the bullpen, adding plus-8.8 and plus-5.4 percent WPA respectively. On the offensive side, CJ Abrams led Washington's contributors with a plus-7.9 percent WPA and a 0.9 RE24 on a fourth-inning single off Harrison, while Tena and Jorbit Vivas also posted positive WPA figures in a losing cause. Milwaukee's lone error and the Nationals' two errors were factors in a game ultimately decided by Milwaukee's fast start and Harrison's effectiveness.