Philadelphia Phillies at Miami Marlins: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 0 |
| MIA | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 1 |
The Story
The Philadelphia Phillies overcame a late Marlins push to escape loanDepot park with a 6-5 victory on May 1, 2026, completing a comeback that left Miami's pre-game 60 percent win probability according to the DiamondIQ model's estimate at zero by the final out. Philadelphia did its damage in clusters, scoring two in the fourth inning and then breaking the game open with a four-run seventh, while the Marlins mounted a three-run rally in the eighth before adding a final run in the ninth that made the finish uncomfortably close.
The decisive sequence began in the top of the fourth when Justin Crawford doubled off Eury Pérez, a swing in win probability of plus 16.5 percent that gave the Phillies their first traction. The game's single largest positive swing for Philadelphia came in the seventh when Bryson Stott connected on a home run off Cade Gibson, shifting win probability by 22.2 percent and serving as the centerpiece of that four-run frame. Miami kept threatening, and a Christopher Morel strikeout against José Alvarado in the bottom of the eighth represented a 16.4 percent negative swing for the Marlins that effectively stalled their comeback. Xavier Edwards recorded a lineout in the ninth that added 27.0 percent to Miami's win probability in a last-gasp attempt, but the damage was already done.
On the individual ledger, Zack Wheeler led all pitchers with a WPA of plus 27.3 percent, anchoring the Phillies' staff effort that also drew contributions from Orion Kerkering and Lake Bachar. Among hitters, Crawford finished with a WPA of plus 22.4 and an RE24 of plus 1.9, while Stott posted a WPA of plus 21.3 and an RE24 of plus 3.0, making the two the most impactful offensive contributors for Philadelphia in a game the DiamondIQ model's estimate never anticipated the visiting club winning.