The Los Angeles Dodgers blanked the Chicago Cubs 6-0 on April 26, 2026, at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium, a result that the DiamondIQ model's estimate saw coming from early on. The model entered the night giving the Dodgers a 62 percent chance to win and finished at 100 percent, a reflection of how thoroughly Los Angeles controlled the game. The Dodgers struck quickly in the first inning, plating three runs before Chicago could answer, and the Cubs never recovered, finishing with just four hits and two errors against a Dodgers club that played clean, errorless baseball across nine innings.
The decisive blow to Chicago's slim hopes came in the second inning, when Alex Bregman grounded out against Justin Wrobleski in a situation that cost the Cubs 8.5 percentage points of win probability, the single largest swing of the game. The Cubs did generate sporadic moments of hope, including a hit by pitch to Bregman in the fifth that nudged Chicago's chances up 4.2 percent and a walk drawn by Michael Busch in the sixth worth 4.5 percent, but Dansby Swanson's strikeout against Wrobleski later in that same frame erased most of that progress and summed up the Cubs' afternoon.
Wrobleski was the story of the game on the mound, contributing 24.1 percentage points of win probability added, a dominant performance that held Chicago to minimal damage throughout. Among the Dodgers' hitters, Dalton Rushing led all position players with a 6.4 percent WPA and a strikeout of his own in the first inning against Shota Imanaga that added 3.8 percent to Los Angeles's win probability. Michael Busch finished at plus-5.2 percent WPA and 1.2 RE24, while Shohei Ohtani contributed plus-3.5 percent WPA and led all batters with a 1.9 RE24, giving the Dodgers a well-rounded offensive showing to complement Wrobleski's commanding outing.
Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.