The Atlanta Braves handed the Philadelphia Phillies a 9-0 shutout at Citizens Bank Park on April 17, 2026, scoring in four of nine innings and never allowing the home side a foothold. The DiamondIQ model entered the game giving Philadelphia a 39% chance of winning, a figure that collapsed rapidly and finished at 0% by the final out.
The game turned decisively in the second inning, when Atlanta batted around against Taijuan Walker and seized control for good. Austin Riley's home run was the single most impactful offensive play of the afternoon, adding 8.1% to Atlanta's win probability, while Ozzie Albies followed with a flyout that nonetheless reflected a 7.6% swing in the Braves' favor within the same sequence, underscoring how thoroughly that frame shifted the game's probability landscape. Matt Olson contributed a single that added another 4.2%. On the Philadelphia side, Trea Turner's lineout against Martín Pérez in the bottom of the second represented the game's largest negative swing, a 9.0% drop that extinguished what little hope the Phillies had generated, and J.T. Realmuto's flyout to end the first had already cost the home team 3.8% earlier.
Martín Pérez was the game's dominant individual performer, accumulating a WPA of plus-16.7% across his outing as he held Philadelphia scoreless on six hits. Riley led Atlanta's hitters with a WPA of plus-7.9% and a RE24 of plus-2.4, while Matt Olson posted the game's best RE24 at plus-2.6 to go with a WPA of plus-4.3%. Albies added plus-7.4% in WPA despite a negative RE24 of minus-0.8, a reflection of his contributions arriving in already favorable run-expectancy contexts. Atlanta finished with 12 hits and zero errors, completing a thorough road performance.
Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.