The Los Angeles Dodgers shut out the New York Mets 4-0 at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium on April 13, 2026, with all four runs coming in a decisive third inning that effectively ended any competitive tension early. The DiamondIQ model entered the game assigning the Dodgers a 54 percent home win probability, a near coin-flip that swung to 100 percent by the final out as Los Angeles never allowed New York to generate any meaningful offensive threat.
The third inning was the turning point in full. A Teoscar Hernández walk off David Peterson added 3.2 percent to Los Angeles's win probability, but it was Andy Pages who delivered the decisive blow, a home run off Peterson that swung win probability by 21.9 percent and pushed the Dodgers into commanding position. A Freddie Freeman forceout in the same frame, which cost the Dodgers 3.4 percent win probability, represented the only moment New York had any chance of stemming the damage, but the inning ultimately ended with Los Angeles holding a four-run lead it would never relinquish. Pages finished as the game's top batter by WPA at plus 18.7 percent with a RE24 of plus 0.6, while Hernández added plus 6.1 percent and a RE24 of plus 1.7. Kyle Tucker also contributed positively at plus 2.9 percent WPA.
On the pitching side, Justin Wrobleski was dominant, accumulating plus 26.0 percent WPA to lead all pitchers in the game. The Mets managed just three hits and committed no errors, but Francisco Alvarez embodied New York's offensive struggles, grounding into a double play in the fifth inning that cost the Mets 3.8 percent win probability and flying out in the second for another minus 3.3 percent swing, both coming against Wrobleski. Joey Gerber and Tanner Scott combined to add plus 1.5 percent WPA in relief as Los Angeles completed the shutout without incident.
Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.