MLB Recap · April 8, 2026

Milwaukee Brewers at Boston Red Sox: Final Score & Recap

MIL0
Final
BOS5

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
MIL000000000040
BOS00300020-570

The Story

The Boston Red Sox shut out the Milwaukee Brewers 5-0 at Fenway Park on April 8, 2026, with the DiamondIQ model's estimate of a Boston win climbing from 54% before first pitch to 100% by game's end. The scoring came in two bursts, with Boston plating three runs in the third inning and two more in the seventh to pull away cleanly against a Milwaukee offense that managed just four hits on the night.

The third inning proved to be the game's pivotal stretch. Willson Contreras drew a walk off Shane Drohan that shifted Boston's win probability by plus 8.9 percentage points, the single largest swing of the game, and Wilyer Abreu followed with a single that added another 7.0 points. Those two plays in sequence effectively broke the game open from a probability standpoint, turning what had been a modest home-field lean into a decisive Boston advantage. Milwaukee threatened briefly in the top of the seventh when Gary Sánchez drew a walk off Sonny Gray that nudged the Brewers' chances up 4.8 points, but Luis Rengifo grounded into a forceout on the next at-bat, erasing 4.3 points and snuffing the rally. Trevor Story then singled off Jake Woodford in the bottom half to cap the scoring at 5-0.

Sonny Gray was the standout performer of the night by a wide margin, posting a plus 22.0% WPA to lead all players and anchoring a Boston pitching effort that allowed no runs across nine innings. Grant Anderson and Greg Weissert contributed plus 5.8% and plus 5.5% WPA respectively in relief. Among position players, Contreras led with plus 6.2% WPA, while Abreu added plus 5.5% and Ceddanne Rafaela contributed plus 3.3% WPA alongside the game's top RE24 mark among hitters at plus 0.8.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025MIL bats firstFinalBOS win %MIL win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 54% → final 100%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Bot 3rd · off Shane Drohan
+8.9%
Wilyer Abreu Single
Bot 3rd · off Shane Drohan
+7.0%
Gary Sánchez Walk
Top 7th · off Sonny Gray
+4.8%
Luis Rengifo Forceout
Top 7th · off Sonny Gray
-4.3%
Trevor Story Single
Bot 7th · off Jake Woodford
+4.1%

Top Batters by WPA

Willson Contreras+6.2%+0.1 RE24
Wilyer Abreu+5.5%+0.5 RE24
Ceddanne Rafaela+3.3%+0.8 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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