MLB Recap · April 7, 2026

Detroit Tigers at Minnesota Twins: Final Score & Recap

DET2
Final
MIN4

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
DET000000101291
MIN00004000-4100

The Story

The Minnesota Twins defeated the Detroit Tigers 4-2 on April 7, 2026, at Target Field, scoring all four of their runs in a decisive fifth inning that effectively settled the game. The DiamondIQ model entered the night giving Minnesota a 54 percent home win probability, and by the time the Twins finished their fifth-inning rally, that estimate had climbed sharply toward certainty, finishing at 100 percent.

The fifth inning was the game's defining sequence, all of it coming against Tigers starter Tarik Skubal. Ryan Jeffers delivered the biggest blow, a double that shifted win probability by plus 15.7 percent, the single largest swing of the night. Josh Bell added a double of his own for a plus 6.3 percent swing, and Luke Keaschall followed with a single worth plus 9.7 percent, pushing Minnesota to a 4-0 lead that the Tigers could never meaningfully challenge. Earlier in the game, Austin Martin had grounded into a double play in the third inning, a minus 7.5 percent swing off Skubal that cost the Twins an opportunity to open things up sooner. Detroit managed single runs in the seventh and ninth innings but never threatened to tie, with Dillon Dingler's groundout in the ninth registering a minus 6.3 percent swing to close the door.

On the individual side, Jeffers led all batters with a plus 17.8 percent WPA and plus 1.6 RE24, while Bell finished at plus 7.5 percent WPA and plus 1.4 RE24. Spencer Torkelson was the most productive Tiger, posting plus 6.5 percent WPA and plus 1.0 RE24. On the mound, Taj Bradley was dominant, leading all pitchers at plus 22.6 percent WPA, with Eric Orze and Taylor Rogers adding plus 3.9 and plus 2.6 percent contributions respectively out of the Twins bullpen to preserve the win.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025DET bats firstFinalMIN win %DET win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 54% → final 100%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Ryan Jeffers Double
Bot 5th · off Tarik Skubal
+15.7%
Luke Keaschall Single
Bot 5th · off Tarik Skubal
+9.7%
Austin Martin Grounded Into DP
Bot 3rd · off Tarik Skubal
-7.5%
Josh Bell Double
Bot 5th · off Tarik Skubal
+6.3%
Dillon Dingler Groundout
Top 9th · off Justin Topa
-6.3%

Top Batters by WPA

Ryan Jeffers+17.8%+1.6 RE24
Josh Bell+7.5%+1.4 RE24
Spencer Torkelson+6.5%+1.0 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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